THE OZONE LAYER: NOT A FUTURE CRISIS THE NEED FOR ACTION NOW by Keith C. Heidorn, Ph.D., ACM E-mail: ub451@freenet.victoria.bc.ca 1930 Venross Place, RR#1 Saanichton, BC V0S 1M0 (604) 652-8436 Abstract: The decline of the atmospheric ozone layer is generally linked with global warming as an impending global environmental change. Unlike global warming, the impacts of ozone depletion are not only projections into the future but are upon us now. The action of man-made chemicals into the ozone layer have been active in reducing the global ozone layer for several years (Watson, et al., 1992). In addition, recent eruptions of Mt. Pinatubo and other volcanoes have introduced other ozone-destroying chemicals into the stratosphere (Grant, et al., 1992). The result has been a more rapid decline in upper atmospheric ozone concentrations than previously expected with global ozone levels the lowest on record in 1992 (Gleason et al., 1993). Preliminary reports for 1993 shows even lower ozone levels (Associated Press, 1993). Recent research has shown that the reduction in the ozone layer and concurrent increase in ultraviolet radiation (UV) will have major consequences to life on earth and human health and welfare (UNEP, 1991; SCOPE, 1992). This paper reviews the recent research into impacts of ultraviolet radiation on man and the biosphere and concludes that action to reduce the emissions of ozone-destroying compounds is not enough. Actions must also be taken to alter life styles as a result of the increased UV radiation. Examples of the Australian experience in public education of the dangers of increased UV radiation will be presented. INTRODUCTION Much concern has been expressed in the last decade concerning changes in the global environment and their impacts on humanity and the Earth's biosphere. The areas of deepest concern to atmospheric scientists are global warming and the depletion of the Earth's ozone layer. Major programs have been undertaken around the world to determine the impact of increased releases of carbon dioxide by man's activities on the global climate. Mathematical models have calculated that global warming over the next century of up to 4.5oC may result from a doubling of the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration (Gates et al., 1992). Although there is consensus among the scientific community that global warming will occur as a result of the increased carbon dioxide, the degree of warming is the subject of intense study. Those scientists not in agreement with the consensus argue that we still know too little about the feedback mechanisms of climate to even claim warming will be the preferred climate change in the long term. Indeed, much debate has centred around the question as to whether changes in global temperatures over the last century indicate that warming has occurred in response to the concurrent rise in carbon dioxide levels (Folland et al., 1992). In contrast, the concerns over the depletion of the ozone layer arose simultaneously in the mid-1970s from observed conditions and theoretical speculation. (It is not the purpose of this paper to delve into the history of this research; an excellent review has been published by Roan, 1989). Measurements by the TOVS (Total Ozone Vertical Sounder) and TOMS (Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer) systems aboard the U.S. Nimbus satellites over the period 1979 to 1992 indicate that there has been a significant downward trend in the global ozone column even with known periodicities due to the solar cycle and Quasi Biennial Oscillation removed (Gleason et al., 1993). Ozone levels in 1992 dropped even more than expected from the previous downward trend. While the trend has been linked with the emission of ozone-depleting chemicals such as CFCs, additional depletion in the past few years has been attributed to the eruption of volcanoes, especially Mt. Pinatubo in the Philippines in 1991 (Grant et al., 1992). As chlorine and bromine abundances continue to increase in the stratosphere, a further global decline in ozone is anticipated (Halpert and Ropelewski, 1993). One strong feature of the decline in the ozone layer has been the Antarctic "ozone hole", a large region of strongly depleted ozone concentrations arising early in the Antarctic spring. The hole has been observed to be increasing in size with decreasing ozone concentration over the past decade. For example, the average minimum values for the Astral spring have decreased from 275 Dobson Units (DU) in 1979 to under 200 DU in 1992 (Halpert and Ropelewski, 1993). Recently, a Arctic ozone hole has been observed over the Northern Hemisphere, centring on Europe and eastern North America (Evans, 1989). In the spring of 1993, this hole reached record size and depletion (W.F.J. Evans, Trent University, 1993, personal communication). In their 1992 supplementary report on Climate Change, the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 1992) concluded: Even if the control measures of the 1990 London Amendments to the Montreal Protocol were to be implemented by all nations, the abundance of stratospheric chlorine and bromine will increase over the next several years. The Antarctic ozone hole, caused by industrial halocarbons, will therefore recur each spring. In addition, as the weight of evidence suggests that these gases are also responsible for the observed reduction in middle and high latitude stratospheric O3, the depletion at these latitudes is predicted to continue unabated through the 1990s. The Canada House of Commons Standing Committee on Environment stated their position more bluntly: "Ozone depletion is a threat to the continuation of life on Earth" and called on governments of the world to "declare themselves at war with all of those elements which are responsible for depletion of the Earth's ozone..." (SCE, 1990). Therefore, while we may continue to debate the degree and timing of global warming, there is no doubt that over the last fifteen to twenty years, there has been a significant decrease in ozone in the upper atmosphere, downward trends that were larger in the 1980s than during the 1970s (Watson, et al., 1992). In this paper, we present a number of the impacts of this decline in ozone on the biosphere and humankind. ULTRAVIOLET RADIATION AND THE OZONE LAYER Ozone is an absorber of both solar and terrestrial radiation. The active absorption bands in the ultraviolet portion of solar radiation include 200 to 300 nm (strong), 300 to 360 nm (moderate) and in the infrared, the peak of terrestrial radiation, ozone absorbs in a band around 9600 nm. The overall impact on global warming of decreasing stratospheric ozone is currently under evaluation. Preliminary results indicate its decline may result in an overall cooling of the lower atmosphere equivalent to the warming attributable to the greenhouse effect of the CFCs. The early model results, however, have shown the degree of impact and even the direction of the impact, i.e., warming or cooling, to be extremely sensitive to the amount and altitude of the decreases in ozone concentration (Isaksen, et al., 1992). The prime impact of a decrease in the upper atmospheric ozone layer results in an increase in the amount of ultraviolet (UV) solar radiation reaching the lower atmosphere and the surface of the Earth. Increases in UV radiation have major consequences for live on Earth. In fact, life on the planet as we know it today would not be possible without the protection of the ozone layer above us. For the first two billion years of life on Earth, the atmosphere contained little free oxygen. As a result, there was no ozone layer to shield life from UV radiation. Thus, early life could only develop under the protective cover of water (Odum, 1971). The first aquatic, photosynthesizing organisms produced biological oxygen as a by-product of sugar synthesis. As a result of diffusion of oxygen from the waters to the atmosphere, an ozone layer began forming in the upper atmosphere. As it thickened and absorbed some of the solar UV radiation, life began to move toward the surface of the sea. By about 600 million years ago, the oxygen content of the atmosphere and its attendant ozone layer was sufficiently thick to lead to the second great revolution of life - the Cambrian explosion of multicellular life. This was soon followed, geologically speaking, by the invasion of life onto the land in the late Paleozoic period (Odum, 1971). CHANGES IN BIOLOGICALLY ACTIVE UV RADIATION AT THE EARTH'S SURFACE With the loss of stratospheric ozone, the atmosphere becomes more transparent to solar ultraviolet radiation. Only a certain type of UV is affected however, that UV radiation band known as UV-B (wavelengths from 280 to 315 nm). As ozone declines, the intensity of UV-B increases and the spectral composition of solar radiation shifts toward more radiation in the shorter wavelengths. The current estimated increase in biologically active UV radiation in the Northern Hemisphere is 5% per decade at 30oN and about 10% per decade in the polar regions. In the southern hemisphere, the decrease at 30oS is also 5% per decade while in the polar regions (85oS) the increase has been 40% per decade. In contrast, little change has been found in the equatorial regions (Mandronich et al, 1991). Solar UV radiation incident on the Earth's surface is affected by many factors in addition to the total atmospheric ozone column: solar elevation angle, cloud cover, and atmospheric moisture, dust and pollutant concentrations. These factors are quite variable in time and space. Except for solar angle, the influences of these factors may also be dependent upon changing global conditions. Such variations contribute to the variability of UV measurements. For example, there has been a decrease in the total UV measured at the surface in the United States from 1973 to 1985, between 0.5% and 1.1% per year (Mandronich et al, 1991). Grant (1988) has suggested, however, that local pollution may have accounted for much of the decrease since most of the monitoring sites were in urban or near-urban locations. In contrast, measurements in the Swiss Alps (3600 m altitude) have shown an increase in UV radiation of 0.7% per annum between 1981 and 1989 (Blumthaler and Ambach, 1990). The TOMS data have been used to analyze the trends in biologically active UV radiation during the 1979-1989 period (Mandronich, 1991). Average daily doses of UV radiation were weighted with the generalized DNA damage spectrum of Setlow (1974). The resulting daily dose shows statistically significant increases of 5% to 20% per decade of clear sky UV radiation in the 30oN to 60oN latitude band during early winter and late spring, a 5% to 10% increase in summer north of 60oN and a 5% or greater increase poleward of 30oS from spring to late fall. The trend in UV radiation under the Antarctic ozone hole is dramatic; increases exceeding 100% occur between August and November from 80oS to the pole (Mandronich, 1991). One measure of the impact of ozone depletion on changing the UV-B dosage is the Radiation Amplification Factor (RAF). This factor is defined as the percentage change in the effective daily dosage of UV-B radiation relative to a 1% decrease in total column ozone. Many investigators have used an RAF of two as a general rule of thumb. Other studies find a 2% increase in UV-B for every 1% decrease in the ozone column thickness only at mid-latitudes in winter. For the wavelengths specific to erythema (reddening of the skin), however, the RAF is between 1.9 and 2.2 (Wayne, 1991). De Fabo, Noonan and Frederick (1990) suggest an RAF of 0.6 to 1.0 for biologically effective irradiance levels of solar UV-B. For DNA destruction, however, the RAF is much higher, being between 2.5 and 2.8 (Wayne, 1991). UV-B IMPACTS ON VEGETATION UV-B and Aquatic Systems Over the millennia, the ocean ecosystem has developed an equilibrium with incident solar radiation. The thinning of the ozone layer disrupts this delicate balance with serious consequences for aquatic productivity and ecosystem function. UV-B radiation 1) affects adaptive strategies, 2) impairs important physiological functions, and 3) threatens many marine organisms during their development stages (Hader, Worrest and Kumar, 1991). Phytoplankton at the bottom of the food chain are at particular risk (SCOPE, 1992). Phytoplankton presently convert 104 billion tons of atmospheric carbon annually into organic material (Houghton and Woodwell, 1989). Therefore, scientists have also expressed concern the ozone-induced loss of phytoplankton may trigger a positive feedback in the global carbon cycle which would further exacerbate the greenhouse effect (Hader, Worrest and Kumar, 1991; SCOPE, 1992). A number of short-term studies have shown that phytoplankton production is reduced by increasing levels of UV-B. Eggs and larvae of many marine organisms are also sensitive to UV radiation. Marine organisms have a number of mechanisms which increase their tolerance to ambient UV radiation, but little is currently known about the impact of sustained increases in UV-B (SCOPE, 1992). Plankton orient themselves within the water column using external factors; most, however, do not possess UV-B photoreceptors and thus cannot avoid high levels of UV-B radiation (Hader, Worrest and Kumar, 1991). Work by Hader and Worrest (1991) indicates that mobility/orientation mechanisms in phytoplankton are impaired by solar UV radiation. This inability to adjust to increased UV-B radiation may result in massive inhibition of photosynthesis. Several studies (Hader, Worrest and Kumar, 1991) have shown that UV penetration in Antarctic waters damaged plankton down to a depth of 65 m. Measurements taken under the Antarctic ozone hole revealed a decrease in phytoplankton productivity of up to 25%. Decreases in phytoplankton productivity and populations would in turn harm the krill population which serves as a major food source to the polar ocean biosphere. (The concentration of phytoplankton in the subpolar seas is 103 to 104 times that found in tropical and subtropical seas.) While qualitative knowledge of potential impacts is growing, we are currently unable to assess quantitatively the UV-B impact on changes in production, species composition and aquatic biomass (SCOPE, 1992). Some of the bacterial plankton have the capabilities to fix atmospheric nitrogen into a form accessible to higher plants. These nitrogen compounds are consumed by higher aquatic plants as essential nutrients. These bacteria are also highly sensitive to UV-B radiation (Hader, Worrest and Kumar, 1991). While the direct effect of increased UV-B radiation on the higher levels of the food chain is unknown, UV impacts on the planktonic base may significantly effect the oceanic trophic levels, especially in bio-rich polar waters. Human populations may also be negatively affected by reductions in plankton. At present, humankind derives more than 30% of its animal protein from the sea, and further exploitation of this resource will be required to feed ever increasing populations. UV-B and Terrestrial Systems Unlike aquatic plants, terrestrial vegetation evolved under conditions of wide variations in solar UV radiation. As a result, there is a wide range of tolerance and adaptation in terrestrial vegetation. Little is known, however, about the manner in which agricultural and native plants in the tropics cope with the intense UV radiation already present (Teramura, et al., 1991). On the other hand, the degree to which such species can adapt to increased UV-B fluxes resulting from O3 depletion is also unknown (Teramura, et al., 1991). The impact of UV radiation on vegetation has been extensively studied through growth chamber studies, greenhouse studies and field studies. Impacts on chloroplasts have been determined using in vitro techniques. These studies conclude that UV-B radiation may affect terrestrial plants through changes in: 1) Photosynthesis and transpiration, 2) plant growth, 3) competitive balance in a community, 4) pollination and flowering, 5) yield, 6) DNA and cellular damage, and 7) susceptibility to disease, environmental stress and pollution (Tevini and Teramura, 1989; Teramura et al., 1991; Stapleton, A.E., 1992; SCOPE, 1992). Approximately two thirds of 300 plant species and cultivars studied appear to be susceptible to damage from increased UV-B radiation (Sullivan and Teramura, 1989). The effect of, and sensitivity to, UV-B varies widely among species as well as among genotypes of a species (Tevini and Teramura, 1989). Some of the specific impacts are summarized below. 1) Photosynthesis and transpiration - When plants in a growth chamber are exposed to high UV-B levels, the effects on photosynthesis as measured by CO2- assimilation were generally negative (Tevini and Teramura, 1989). One possible explanation for the decrease in some species may be linked to stomatal closure by enhanced UV-B, thereby reducing the uptake of CO2. Reductions in transpiration in UV-B sensitive seedlings such as cucumber and sunflower also suggest UV-B induced stomatal closure (Tevini and Teramura, 1989). In vitro chloroplast studies indicate that damage by UV-B to photochemical reactions is greater in C-3 plants such as wheat and beans than to C-4 plants such as maize (Teramura et al., 1991). Field studies of loblolly pine (Sullivan and Teramura, 1991) found a decrease of up to 40% in photosynthetic capacity in needles exposed to enhanced UV-B radiation simulating a 16% and 25% ozone depletion. (It must be noted that such ozone depletions were measured over Canada during the spring of 1993.) Seedlings in growth chamber experiments exposed to even the lowest additional radiation levels showed reduced growth (Sullivan and Teramura, 1989). As the UV-B levels increased, there was a more rapid production of UV-B absorbing compounds and growth was less affected. Research by DeLucia et al. (1992) on two species of subalpine conifers showed UV-B penetration of needles was greatest in emergent and in-bud needles and least in mature needles. The cuticle and epicutical waxes may contain important UV-absorbing compounds which provide a first-line of defense against enhanced UV-B light (DeLucia et al., 1991). 2) Plant growth UV-B radiation reduces growth characteristics such as plant height and leaf area in sensitive species and cultivars (Tevini and Teramura, 1989). Reduced growth rates in cucumbers continued throughout the development of the plant whereas with soybeans, the effects varied with plant growth stage. Three out of ten conifer species showed reduced seedling growth under enhanced UV-B radiation (Sullivan and Teramura, 1988). After three years of irradiation, Sullivan and Teramura (1991) found tree biomass was significantly reduced by as much as 20%. They suggest that the effects may accumulate and that increased UV-B radiation could significantly reduce the growth of loblolly pine over its lifetime. Six of sixteen rice cultivars showed a statistically significant decrease in total biomass with increased UV-B radiation under a 20% ozone reduction scenario over the Equator (Teramura et al., 1991). In the sensitive cultivars, photosynthetic capacity, leaf area and tiller numbers were also reduced. 3) Competitive balance in a community Enhanced UV-B radiation can cause changes in the growth form of plants without necessarily directly decreasing plant photosynthetic production (Teramura et al., 1991). Reduction in leaf length, increased branching and increased leaf numbers seem to be rather general impacts among different crop and weed species. Such changes, while not important in a single species stand, may have major consequences in a mixed community as species compete for available light and nutrients. For example, in a mixed wheat and wild oat field, the wheat was favoured under enhanced UV-B radiation because wild oat showed greater reductions in stem elongation and leaf blade lengths than the wheat. This differential response allowed the wheat to dominate the field. In this study, neither species showed reduced photosynthetic capacity as a result of the increased radiation (Tevini and Teramura, 1989; Teramura et al., 1991). 4) Pollination and flowering Pollen is well protected from UV-B radiation. Several in vitro studies support the possibility of UV-B impacts on pollen germination; however, no in vivo conformation of these results has been reported (Tevini and Teramura, 1989). UV-B radiation may indirectly influence pollination in some species by detrimental effects on the pollinators and flowering. Flowering was shown to be inhibited in some species by increased UV-B radiation (Tevini and Teramura, 1989). In addition to reducing flower numbers, it is suggested that the timing of floral presentation may be altered by changes in the UV radiation flux. Advancing or delaying flower emergence may disrupt the timing of the pollination cycle (Hale, 1993). 5) Yield reduction Studies of yield responses to enhanced UV-B radiation in agricultural species have shown a very wide differential between species and cultivars (Tevini and Teramura, 1989). At present, little is know about the causes of the differentials among agricultural cultivars. 6) DNA and cellular damage Ultraviolet radiation, especially at the shorter wavelengths, is known to damage DNA as well as physiological processes (Stapleton, 1992). UV damage to DNA could be the cause of many of the other observed effects. In addition, UV damage to cell membranes, chloroplasts and its functions, protein destruction, and hormone inactivation may also alter a plant's biological functions. The impact of UV radiation may result from an increase in energy across the spectrum or, an increase in energy within a specific waveband, or both (Stapleton, 1992). Plants have several mechanisms by which to response to damage by normal UV radiation levels, but little is yet know concerning their ability to respond to higher, sustained levels of UV-B. 7) Susceptibility to disease, environmental stress and pollution Preliminary research indicates that exposure to a UV-B dose prior to inoculation with disease led to greater disease development in cucumber cultivars including a disease-resistant variety (Teramura at al., 1991). The study found that the effects of the irradiation varied according to the timing of the exposure and the tissue age. Younger tissue seems most affected. Carrying this finding further suggests that the most critical stage for negative impact may be in the spring when young tissue is most prevalent. This is also the time of peak ozone depletion in the higher latitudes. Exposure to enhanced UV-B radiation has also been shown to cause increased impacts of air and soil pollutants and stresses induced by soil water and mineral deficiencies (Tevini and Teramura, 1989, Teramura et al., 1991). For example,most water-stressed plants irradiated with enhanced levels of UV-B lost their ability to close stomata (thus reducing water loss) while those under normal light conditions displayed expected stomatal behaviour (Tevini and Teramura, 1989). Plants exposed to additional UV-B radiation have shown enhanced adverse effects when toxic pollutants such as heavy metals are present (Teramura et al., 1991). UV Impacts on Agricultural Crops Much of the research concerning the impacts of UV radiation on terrestrial vegetation has come as a result of studies on agricultural crop species. However, because of the importance of agriculture to the human condition, a few specific comments are presented. Dr. Malcom Whitecross of the Australian State University has reported that a 10% increase in UV-B radiation early in the growing season (the prime time for high-latitude ozone depletion) can cause stunting of growth in wheat, rice, corn, soybeans and other crops, a set-back from which the crop will not likely recover (CBC, 1992). Dr. Beverly Hale of the University of Guelph in Ontario feels many food crops are at risk (Hale, 1993). Her preliminary research indicates that elevated UV-B can initiate far-reaching changes in plants including size, height, shape, rate of growth and productivity. Internal chemical changes in the composition of proteins, carbohydrates and amino acids may have a substantial impact on their nutritional content. She feels that research must focus on the identification and development of UV-B tolerable varieties (Personal communication, 1993). UV Impacts on Forestry Research on trees and forests is limited but points to major impacts on trees and, by extrapolation, on forests. The work of Sullivan and Teramura (1988, 1991) indicates that increased UV-B levels reduced photosynthesis and stunted growth in species of pine. The studies of DeLucia et al. (1991, 1992) showed that UV-B penetration into two species of subalpine conifers was deepest in the youngest needles. This result has greater implications than may be first evident. Conifers rely on a wide span of needle ages for their seasonal carbon gain. Depending on the species, individual trees may retain foliage for five to twenty years. Thus, although damage may only occur in the early life of the needles, the damage may have impacts lasting several decades if the tree is able to survive. Although UV-B penetration is reduced in older needles, they may still accumulate large lifetime doses of radiation (DeLucia et al., 1991, 1992). The impacts of such dosages have not yet been evaluated. Trees in fairly open subalpine forests are particularly vulnerable since they will receive radiation from all directions including reflected radiation from sky, rock, snow and water. Similar exposures can be experienced by trees along the edge of clearings and within clear-cuts. Seedlings have been shown to be the most susceptible to UV-B damage (Sullivan and Teramura, 1988, 1991). In a natural forest setting, a seedling is often protected from direct sunlight for a portion of the day by the surrounding forest. However, in a clear-cut, this protection is missing, and the seedlings are exposed to high-levels of direct and reflected UV-B radiation. The resulting damage has serious consequences to the regeneration of a healthy and sustainable tree yield in the future. UV-B AND ANIMAL HEALTH Comparatively little is known concerning the impacts of enhanced UV-B radiation on wild terrestrial animals. This is in part due to the greater mobility of animals in response to high levels of solar radiation and their evolutionary adaptation to it (i.e., hair, shells, feathers, pigment and leathery skin). However, avoidance responses have evolved over long periods of time and generally are stimulated by a particular combination of visible light intensity and temperature (Wayne, 1991). So long as UV-B and visible light bear a constant intensity relationship, the avoidance response is effective. However, depletion of the ozone layer changes the balance by enhancing the UV- B portion of the spectrum without a compensatory increase in visible light. The consequences of such a shift on animal health are unknown at present. With the exception of eye cancer tumours in cattle and sheep, little or no information is available on skin cancer, cataract formation and immunosuppression for animals other than laboratory animals (SCOPE, 1992). UV-B AND HUMAN HEALTH The most well-known link between human health and exposure to UV radiation is that of erythema or sunburn. However, skin cancer generally ranks first on the list of UV impacts on human health in the minds of most people. Recent research has expanded the list of negative impacts to include: eye damage in the form of cataracts, age-related near-sightedness and damage to the anterior lens capsule; other cancers such as cancer of the salivary gland, and immunosuppression with impacts on both infectious disease and chemical- sensitivities (Longstreth et al., 1991). Erythema The exposure of the human skin to sufficient quantities of shortwave radiation will produce first a reddening of the skin (erythema) and ultimately a burn. White skin is more prone to burning than black or brown skin. The fair skin of those deriving from Northern European ancestry are the most vulnerable to sun damage of the skin especially those receiving their exposure in the tropical latitudes. Young children are under the greatest risk. Because of their more transparent skin, infants should never be exposed to direct sun. Both UV-A and UV-B cause sunburn. The degree of burn and rate at which burning occurs is directly related to the intensity of solar UV radiation as well as the skin type. For example, under solar UV intensities typical of exposure to the noon-day sun in the tropics, a fair-skinned person would typically burn in less than 15 minutes. At latitudes such as along the U.S.- Canada border, minimum burning times are generally in excess of 17 to 18 minutes for even the fair-skinned. The thinning of the ozone layer over Canada this year, however, has reduced burning times to as short as 14 minutes according to Dr. Wayne Evans of Trent University (The Canadian Press, 1993b). Excessive exposure can lead to 2nd or 3rd degree burns with the attendant dangers of such burns in the short term. However, even minor burns can have long-term consequences after the initial discomfort has abated. Many researchers now feel that many skin cancers may be initiated as a result of severe childhood burns (Longstreth et al., 1991). Sunburn can be simply avoided by reducing exposure to the sun: avoid being outdoors in the sun during the peak sun periods (10 a.m. to 4 p.m.) in summer; wear long-sleeved shirts, long pants or skirt and a broad-brimmed hat, use a sunscreen that blocks against both UV-A and UV-B. Avoiding the direct sun does not always provide protection however. Reflected UV radiation off clouds, buildings, and especially snow and water surfaces can increase exposure. Even moderate overcast skies are not totally safe since as much as half of the UV radiation may pass through a cloud layer. Indeed, UV exposure during cloudy conditions or through reflection from snow and water may be more damaging since the cooler conditions which often prevail during these exposures give a false sense of security. Skin and Other Cancers The relation between exposure to the sun and several forms of skin cancers has also been established for many years (Baker-Blocker et al., 1979). UV-B radiation (wavelengths between 280 and 315 nm) is the most carcinogenic portion of the solar spectrum reaching the earth's surface (Longstreth et al., 1991). Non-melanoma skin cancers have been most commonly found in individuals with outdoor occupations such as fishers and farmers. UV radiation has also been demonstrated to enhance skin cancers which resulted from dermal contact of chemicals. Recent research suggests that cancers afflicting the eyes, lips, and salivary glands are also caused or induced by UV-B exposure (Longstreth et al., 1991). Unlike erythema which quickly occurs with excessive exposure to solar radiation, skin cancers, both melanomas and non-melanomas only appear many years later. It is now believed that a single acute burn, especially one received during the early years of life, may initiate a cancers several decades later (Garland et al., 1993). Long-term exposures at sub-erythemic levels, however, may also result in skin cancers (Longstreth et al., 1991). There are three types of skin cancers induced by UV radiation: basal cell, squamous cell and melanoma. Basal cell and squamous cell are generally classified as non-melanomas and account for 93% of all skin cancers (SCE, 1992). Basal and squamous cell cancers develop on exposed areas of the body generally in response to UV-B. They are rarely fatal and easily cured if treated. Melanoma, while the rarest of the three forms, is the most deadly as it spreads quickly to the blood, lymphatic system and other organs. Research indicates that melanomas may be cause primarily by exposure to UV-A radiation (Garland et al., 1993). Research suggests that melanoma is related to short, intense exposure to sunburn-inducing sunlight, particularly in childhood (Noy et al., 1990). The most recent estimate of increases in non-melanomas resulting from increased UV-B radiation suggest a 1% ozone depletion will result in an increase in non-melanoma skin cancer of between 1.9% and 2.7%. In the United States, this amounts to 11,500 additional cases per year (Longstreth et al., 1991). A conservative estimate for world-wide cancer increases finds that a 10% decrease on ozone would result in 300,000 additional non-melanomas and 4,500 melanomas (Longstreth et al., 1991). Robin Marsh of the Australian Anti- Cancer Society estimates that two of every three Australians will develop some form of skin cancer in their lifetimes (CBC, 1992). In Queensland, Australia the current skin cancer rate is the highest in the world. The evidence for UV-B linkage with salivary gland cancer is still circumstantial, being derived from co-associations between this cancer and melanoma and lip cancers. Since the salivary gland is rarely, if ever, exposed directly to UV-B radiation, these preliminary findings suggest a systemic effect of UV-B (Longstreth et al., 1991). A possible link may be found in the work on immune suppression. Immune Suppression The initial link between immune suppression and UV-B radiation resulted from animal studies. However, recent studies on a number of viruses and human subjects have confirmed the linkage between immune suppression and exposure to UV-B radiation (Longstreth et al., 1991). De Fabo et al. (1990) have suggested that a 1% decrease in ozone will lead to a 0.6% to 1% increase in the biologically effective irradiance level for immune suppression. Their study indicated that relatively low levels of sunlight activated immune suppression, and these levels were easily obtainable over most of the populated regions of the world. Human immune suppression has been shown to be independent of skin pigmentation (SCOPE, 1992). The impact of UV-B on human disease appears to work on at least three levels. One is the increase in activation of viruses, the second is the decrease in the immune system to respond to viral and bacterial infection, and the third is the decrease in tolerance to chemical exposure. In vitro studies have shown that exposure to UV-B increased the activity of viruses such as herpes simplex, a variety of papilloma viruses, and HIV-1 (Longstreth et al., 1991; James, 1992). Increased activity of the herpes and HIV viruses have been demonstrated in vivo (Longstreth et al., 1991). The herpes/UV-B connection has also been demonstrated in human subjects (Rooney et al., 1991). While it is clear that enhanced activation of HIV by UV-B is a cause for concern, at present, no evidence as yet indicates that this will result in an increase in human infection. Rather, the effect will likely increase the severity of the disease (Longstreth et al., 1991). Since UV-B is also know to damage DNA, we may also speculate the increased UV-B may promote the development of new strains of existing viruses and bacteria or the production of new strains injurious to humans. While no specific studies in this area have been located, similar speculation has suggested a link to the origin of major epidemics following large volcanic eruptions (Gore, 1992). Recent mysterious diseases and new, more virulent, strains of old diseases such as cholera and tuberculosis add fuel to this hypothesis. Cooper et al., (1992) found that even levels of UV exposure below clinically detectible levels (i.e., no visible erythema) can impair immune responsiveness, and a localized sunburn can alter T-cell responses at distant, unirradiated sites. (T-cells are produced by the lymphatic system and activated by the thymus to provide cellular immunity in response to antigens (Tortora and Anagnostakos, 1990)). Depression of T cell response could then result in tolerance rather than rejection of UV-induced carcinoma cells. They also found that virtually all individuals with skin types I - III are susceptible to the immunosuppression effects of UV, the impact is dose sensitive, and skin absorbing subclinically detectable levels of UV (<0.75 MEDS) is affected (Cooper et al., 1992). The last finding makes it very difficult for individuals to gauge a safe level of exposure. Brief midday summer or high altitude exposures can easily exceed 0.75 MEDS. (An acute weekend or vacation sunburn which results in slight peeling results from a dosage of about 4 MEDS.) Ocular damage Exposure to UV radiation has been associated with damage to the cornea, retina and lens of the eye. Ocular damage known or suspected to be caused by UV radiation ranges from acute "sunblindness" to chronic damage such as cataracts, tumours, presbyopia and deformation of the anterior lens capsule ((Longstreth et al., 1991). (Presbyopia is the loss of the ability of the eye to accommodate changes in focal length and commonly requires the use of reading glasses to view nearby objects.) The effects of acute exposure to UV-B on the cornea and conjunctiva of the eye are well known from occupational injury due to welder's arc flash. The patient generally recovers within days, apparently without permanent effect (Chou, 1992). Similar injuries have been seen in intense sunlight exposures on fresh snow, sand and water surfaces as "sunblindness" or "snowblindness". Very young children and individuals without lens may be very susceptible to UV damage of the retina since their ocular media are transparent to UV radiation (Chou, 1992). The principal form of lens damage linked to UV radiation is cataract. The relationship between sunlight exposure and all forms of cataracts has now been show (Longstreth et al., 1991). The recent literature indicates that cataract development may be related to the loss of the orderly arrangement of densely packed lens crystalline which is required to maintain lens transparency. Ozone depletion of 1% is estimated to result in a 0.6% to 0.8% increase in cataract formation. UV Protection Many of the public health campaigns (e.g., Canadian Cancer Society's Sunsense Programme, Environment Canada, B.C. Ministry of Health) suggest several measures of protection against adverse impacts of UV radiation. These are: - Avoid being outdoors during peak sun hours (10 a.m. to 3 p.m.); - Wear long-sleeved shirts, long pants or skirt, and a wide-brimmed hat; - Wear sun glasses that screen out UV-A and UV-B; and - Use sunscreen which contains block against both UV-A and UV-B on unprotected skin. The issue of sunscreens has become a growing issue. According to Dr. Daniel Saunders, head of the Dermatology Department at the University of Toronto, people are too eager to place their trust in various products that claim to block ultraviolet rays (Cross, 1993). Many products claim to block ultraviolet rays but few provide full spectrum protection and some no protection at all reports Dr. Yvon Deslauriers of Health and Welfare Canada (Munro, 1993). Research by Garland et al., (1993) notes the rising trend in melanoma continuing since the 1970s and 1980s when sunscreens with high sun protection factors became widely used. Commonly used chemical sunscreens block UV-B but are transparent to UV-A. Garland et al. hypothesize that because these sunscreens prevent erythema and sunburn and inhibit accommodation of the skin to sunlight, their use may actually increase the risk of melanoma since the deeper penetrating UV-A radiation is now able to reach the melanocytes, the cells that turn cancerous in melanoma. Not all spectacle or tinted lenses offer eye protection from UV radiation. Spectacle crown glass lenses provide no protection from UV longer than 290 nm, most of the UV-B and all the UV-A bands (Chou, 1992). Sunglass lenses which only reduce the visible spectrum and do not block the UV bands may actually cause more damage. Non-UV-block sun lenses cause the pupils to dilate in response to the lowered visible light levels thus allowing more UV radiation into the eye which may damage the delicate membranes of the retina. In areas with high reflected sunlight such as snow or water, a wrap-around frame with sideshields is the ideal frame design (Chou, 1992). FACTORS AFFECTING STRATOSPHERIC OZONE CONCENTRATIONS In its natural state, the stratospheric ozone layer remains within a limited range and varies with the solar seasons. Natural variations in stratospheric concentration also result from the longer term variations in solar radiation flux and alterations in the atmosphere such as the Quasi Biennial Oscillation. The constant production of ozone by solar radiation is balanced by removal of ozone by other photochemical and chemical reactions. This process has been termed the "Leaky Bucket" Analogy by Stolarski (1982). So long as the production replenishes the ozone "leaking" from the stratospheric reservoir, the ozone concentration remains within acceptable limits for life on earth. Major departures from "normal" are the result of natural factors such as volcanic eruptions or large meteor/comet impacts and anthropogenic influences such as emissions from high flying aircraft or releases of chlorine compounds such as the CFCs. These factors cause destruction of ozone through chemical reactions -- essentially punching another hole in the ozone bucket -- which cannot be fully compensated by solar production. As a result, stratospheric ozone concentrations begin to decline. The impact of long-lived chlorine compounds, CFCs and related species, on the stratospheric ozone layer was first recognized by Molina and Rowland (1974). The stability of the CFC molecule allows it to rise high into the stratosphere before solar radiation is strong enough to tear the molecule apart. Once freed from the CFC matrix, chlorine atoms were able to destroy ozone. The resulting photochemical process eventually frees the chlorine atom thus allowing it to continue its destruction. It has been estimated that each chlorine atom reaching the ozone layer will destroy over a million ozone molecules during its atmospheric lifetime (Hilborn and Still, 1990). The concern raised by the studies of Rowland and Molina and others resulted in a 1987 international conference held in Montreal to discuss the issue. The Montreal Protocol to reduce and eventually eliminate CFC and other ozone-depleting emissions arose from that conference. As the rate of ozone depletion rose, the international community further agreed in London in 1990 to accelerate the reduction in the emission of ozone-depleting substances over the timetable set out in the Montreal Protocol. Recent measurements of the atmospheric CFC content indicates that the rate of CFC build-up has decreased from 3% per annum to 1% (Associate Press, 1993). While the decrease in the rate of CFC accumulation is good news, it is tempered by the bad news that 1992 saw the lowest ozone levels ever measured, and 1993 would likely be lower still (Associated Press, 1993). In addition, many of the CFC compounds have a long residence time in the atmosphere and will likely to continue destroying ozone well into the next century. THE NEED FOR ACTION NOW The international community has already taken major steps toward the reduction and elimination of emissions of ozone-depleting substances. While these actions are among the most forward and proactive international environmental agreements ever enacted, we are left with the fact that, even if all emissions of ozone-depleting substances were eliminated today, we would still be left with enough released chemicals to further deplete the ozone layer well into the next century. Therefore, we must do more than just call for a further increase in the rate of emission reduction. We must move quickly to protect agriculture and human health, the two areas of society most vulnerable to enhanced ultraviolet radiation resulting from ozone depletion as well as he delicate balance of the biosphere. While the sword of human impacts on the ozone layer hangs precariously over our heads, the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo reminds us that a second sword hangs just above the first. Part of the current reduction in ozone can be attributed to the 1991 Pinatubo eruption, whose dust and gases are only now being cleansed from the atmosphere. However, volcanologists have warned that Mayon, a nearby volcano which has had several eruptions over the past year, has the potential for an explosive eruption ten times that of Pinatubo. Such an eruption would have major consequences for both the ozone layer and short-term weather and climate. The ever-growing human population and the effects of weather and climate variability are already placing a strain on agricultural production and fisheries. Therefore, it is essential that research be conducted to determine which crops or which cultivars are the most resistant to increased UV-B radiation. This knowledge must then be quickly conveyed to seed producers and farmers so that the most resistant crops can be planted. Increased breeding programs must also be undertaken to produce UV-B resistant crops. Research must also be conducted on animal stocks to determine the impacts of enhanced UV-B radiation. Action must also be taken now to alter human lifestyles to cope with increased UV-B radiation. These actions include alterations of lifestyles, public education, warning systems, and provision of additional sun-shading. Some of these changes will have major economic implications but the potential social burden of increased illness and injury may well exceed the burden of short-term economic disruptions. Alterations of Lifestyle Much of the developed world is of the opinion that a tanned body is a healthy body, and, to achieve this look, we spend hours baking in the midday sun. This fetish is most evident in Australia where a fair-skinned people living in a tropical and subtropical environment, the ultimate risk combination, have made exposure of near-naked bodies to the sun a part of their culture. As a result, two thirds of the population are expected to develop some form of sun-related cancer in their lifetimes (Noy et al., 1990). While moderate exposure to the sun has many healthful benefits, we generally far exceed prudent limits in our desire for the socially acceptable skin colour. Therefore, the prime required alteration of lifestyle would limit exposure to direct and reflected solar radiation. Avoiding peak sun hours is the best protection, but for those who cannot or will not seek shelter during these hours, protection through additional clothing, long-sleeved shirts, long pants and skirts and wide-brimmed hats of adequate thickness should be worn. Eyes should be protected by wearing UV-absorbent lenses, preferably with side protection. Another area where alterations in lifestyle must be made is in the setting of outdoor activity schedules such as school recesses and outdoor sports. In Australia, New Zealand and Chile, school and recreational activities have been altered to avoid the peak sun periods. For example, soccer games have been scheduled for early morning or evening to avoid the mid-day sun. Policies and codes of practice must also be developed for outdoor workers who are under above average risk. British Columbia, for example, has no provision in its occupational work standards dealing with exposure to solar radiation. Among the actions which may be taken are changes in required dress during the high sun season. An example would be to replace baseball cap headgear with broad-brimmed hats. Public Education Altering the human lifestyle is nearly impossible to legislate effectively. Therefore, the required changes in lifestyle must be presented to the population in the form of public education programs. Much resistance will be encountered not only from the populace but also from those with vested interests in the current lifestyle. Environmental education has traditionally had to overcome obstacles placed by the fatalists on one extreme and the disbelievers on the other. The fatalists contend that no matter what is done, we are doomed so therefore why be concerned. The disbelievers, on the other hand, put their head in the sand believing that any issue if ignored will go away. (As my former neighbour called it, the "Crisis of the Month".) Public education must be directed toward two issues: 1) the need for reduction in the use of CFC or other ozone-depleting substances; and 2) the need for changing lifestyles in response to increasing UV radiation. The former has received the most attention as governments push toward phase out of ozone-depleting chemicals. The latter has had less attention in Canada and the United States than in Australia or New Zealand where the crisis is most at hand. However, the need for lifestyle changes should be given at least equal attention by government, educators, the media, and industry because, as the subtitle of this talk indicates, the need for action is now. Both Australia and New Zealand have promoted a protection campaign aimed at children called "Slip, Slap, Slop" -- slip on a shirt, slap on a hat and slop on sunscreen. UV Warning Systems The media have kept the issue of ozone depletion in the news for several years now. In order to convey the immediacy of the issue, however, the public must be kept informed as to how depletion affects everyday life. Environment Canada has taken the lead in issuing warnings to the public of daily variations in the UV radiation reaching the Earth's surface via the UV Index (O'Toole, 1992). The daily UV Index forecast has been incorporated into the regular government weather forecasts as presented via the newspapers, television and radio and as a regular feature on The Weather Network, a privately owned cable TV channel. The UV Index provides a forecast of the maximum expected UV intensity for the coming day should the sky be clear. The Index was developed by the Atmospheric Environment Service (AES) in consultation with several health organizations and members of the medical community. Although the Index is intended to warn the public of all potential dangers of UV exposure, it has been developed using human erythema as the physiological effect. Typical tropical noon values of the Index are about 10 with an expected maximum of 12. Under such radiation, a fair-skinned individual could burn in 15 minutes or less of exposure. The Weather Network uses the AES forecast of maximum UV intensity and fits a daily radiation cycle to the maximum. The curve is presented to the public along with the expected time to burn twice each hour (Ian Miller, The Weather Network, 1993, pers. comm.). Realtime measurements of UV radiation updated each hour are plotted along the expected radiation curve. While variations from the curve may be large in very cloudy weather, the clear-sky measurements follow the forecast curve quite well. The Canada UV Index has been structured to be globally applicable and has recently been adopted by the World Meteorological Organization as a world- wide measure of UV radiation exposure (Canadian Press, 1993a). Other warning programs have been adopted. In the United States, several local television stations have added UV forecasts and warnings to their broadcasts, but the practice is not yet widespread. In areas under the Antarctic ozone hole such as Punta Arenas, Chile, New Zealand and Australia, warnings are also issued. The frequency, method of delivery and source of information for these warnings are not known to the author at this time. Arlen Kruger (1993) of NASA stated in a recent paper that Canada was the only country in the world providing a nationally released UV forecast and warning. Site-specific warning programs should also provide information is users of facilities such as beaches and ski hills. News reports indicated that some local B.C. ski resorts had installed UV monitors last winter which informed skiers of the current level of radiation. Provision of Sunshading The provision of shading to allow outdoor activities without long exposure to UV radiation is an area where government, community organizations, the private sector and individuals can all take action. Many school yards completely lack areas where direct sun can be avoided. New housing tracts generally suffer a similar problem where existing vegetation is bulldozed and then re-landscaped with trees that will take decades to mature into proper shade. Architects have long been required to consider the negative aspects of shading in their building designs. The time is perhaps right to consider the positive aspects of shading as well. AN EXAMPLE OF A PROACTIVE UV RADIATION PROTECTION PLAN As the country with the most pressing concerns over UV exposure, Australia has taken a number of action steps. Several of these have been summarized in A Comprehensive Guide to Becoming A Sunsmart Council (Noy et al., 1990) published by the Anti-Cancer Council of Victoria (Australia). This document has received the endorsement of the Municipal Association of Victoria and the Australian Institute of Environmental Health. The document has designed to provide local government authorities with a framework for tackling the problem of UV-induced skin cancer amongst residents. The major areas for consideration in the Guide include: Parks, gardens and other publicly owned facilities such as sports fields and swimming pools; Policy and work practices related to staff who work outdoors; Publicly funded programs such as daycare, holiday programs and health services. Recommendations to be implemented in these areas under the categories of education, clothing, sunscreens, shade, schedules and policy guidelines included: Erecting signs warning of children's risk to overexposure to the sun; Educating parents through health education programs about the dangers of childhood exposure; Providing educational materials in public places; Encouraging employees to protect themselves and thereby serve as role models; Ensuring sufficient shade for all users; Selling sun-protective clothing and broad-spectrum sunscreen on site; Allowing users to leave at midday and return later without extra charge; Scheduling outdoor sporting competitions for early morning or late afternoon hours; Incorporation of shade provisions in any new development plans; Erecting, where practical, temporary shade structures for short-term events; Changing any rules which prevent people from being adequately protected. As of the 1990 printing of the Guide, a number of municipalities had adopted all or portions of the recommended strategy. A few examples are provided below. The Shire of Myrtlewood erected a protective roof of 60-75% shade cloth over their toddlers pool and surrounding concrete. The City of Sandringham planted established shade trees in parks and playgrounds with some trees becoming an extension of the play equipment. The City of Bendigo's Occupational Health and Safety Committee recommended a policy on sun protection for outdoor workers which included provision of sunscreen, sunglasses and a wide-brimmed hat to employees. The City of Warrnambool altered the schedule for beach cleaning staff away from midday exposure. During midday hours they were transferred to a more shady playground environment. CONCLUSIONS The reduction of the planet's protective ozone layer has reached dangerous levels and continued reductions seem inevitable. 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